Rolf Dobelli is a bestselling writer and entrepreneur. He is the founder of Zurich.Minds, a community of some of the world's most famed and distinguished thinkers, scientists, artists, and entrepreneurs, and a cofounder of getAbstract, the world's largest publisher of compressed knowledge.A novelist, sailor, and pilot, he lives in Lucerne, Switzerland.
Have you ever . . .
Invested time in something that, in hindsight, just wasn't worth it?
Paid too much in an eBay auction?
Continued to do something you knew was bad for you?
Sold stocks too late, or too early?
Taken credit for success, but blamed failure on external circumstances?
Backed the wrong horse?
These are examples of what the author calls cognitive biases, simple errors all of us make in day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to identify them, we can avoid them and make better choices: whether in dealing with personal problems or business negotiations, trying to save money or earn profits, or merely working out what we really want in life—and strategizing the best way to get it.
Already an international bestseller, The Art of Thinking Clearly distills cutting-edge research from behavioral economics, psychology, and neuroscience into a clever, practical guide for anyone who's ever wanted to be wiser and make better decisions. A novelist, thinker, and entrepreneur, Rolf Dobelli deftly shows that in order to lead happier, more prosperous lives, we don't need extra cunning, new ideas, shiny gadgets, or more frantic hyperactivity—all we need is less irrationality.
Simple, clear, and always surprising, this indispensable book will change the way you think and transform your decision making—at work, at home, every day. From why you shouldn't accept a free drink to why you should walk out of a movie you don't like, from why it's so hard to predict the future to why you shouldn't watch the news, The Art of Thinking Clearly helps solve the puzzle of human reasoning.
##有理在于人性中固有的自以为是的愚蠢,无理在于对人类一切包含风险、实验和游戏规则的活动的意义的否定,有时甚至不经意否定了人类的努力本身。学者抱着"普及常识"的意图赚读者的钱无可厚非,只是这位社会学家作者用一本书的时间宣扬不负责任的观点,有些不应该。
评分 评分 评分 评分##参加过CFA level 3级考试的同学们都知道,第一本教材的第一大部分Ethics之后就是Behavioral Finance,从第一次参加考试的晦涩难懂到目前慢慢熟悉这门结合了心理学、概率学和金融学最前沿研究结果的东西,我也开始寻找各类相关书籍,中文引进的,英文原著的。 自从2002年卡尼曼...
评分##很多有趣的东西已经在别的书里说过了,但是这书提供了更加“常人”的视角和多方例子,对biz读者更有意义(不适合academic读者)
评分##如何《自己骗自己的手册》—你所见的都是偏差。
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