发表于2025-04-21
Big Debt Crises pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载
Ray Dalio is the founder, Co-Chief Investment Officer and Co-Chairman of Bridgewater Associates. Bridgewater is a global asset manager and leader in institutional portfolio management as well as the largest hedge fund in the world. Under Ray s guidance, Bridgewater has developed a distinctive culture, an idea-meritocracy that produces meaningful work and meaningful relationships through radical truth and radical transparency that is the foundation of the firm s success. Since starting Bridgewater out of his two-bedroom apartment in New York in 1975, Ray has grown the firm into the largest hedge fund in the world, the 5th most important company in the U.S. according to Fortune Magazine, and has led it to make more money for clients than any other hedge fund since its inception, according to LCH Investments. For his innovative work as well as being a valued advisor to many global policy makers, Ray has also been called the Steve Jobs of Investing by CIO Magazine and Wired Magazine, and been named one of TIME Magazine s 100 Most Influential People. Over the past three decades, he wrote down his decision-making criteria and has recently passed along his principles and tools through his book, Principles: Life & Work, a New York Times #1 Bestseller and Amazon #1 Business Book of 2017.
"Ray Dalio's excellent study provides an innovative way of thinking about debt crises and the policy response." - Ben Bernanke
"Ray Dalio's book is must reading for anyone who aspires to prevent or manage through the next financial crisis." - Larry Summers
"A terrific piece of work from one of the world's top investors who has devoted his life to understanding markets and demonstrated that understanding by navigating the 2008 financial crisis well." - Hank Paulson
"An outstanding history of financial crises, including the devastating crisis of 2008, with a very valuable framework for understanding why the engine of the financial system occasionally breaks down, and what types of policy actions by central banks and governments are necessary to resolve systemic financial crises. This should serve as a play book for future policy makers, with practical guidance about what to do and what not to do." - Tim Geithner
On the 10th anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis, one of the world's most successful investors, Ray Dalio, shares his unique template for how debt crises work and principles for dealing with them well. This template allowed his firm, Bridgewater Associates, to anticipate events and navigate them well while others struggled badly.
As he explained in his #1 New York Times Bestseller, Principles: Life & Work, Dalio believes that most everything happens over and over again through time so that by studying their patterns one can understand the cause-effect relationships behind them and develop principles for dealing with them well. In this 3-part research series, he does that for big debt crises and shares his template in the hopes reducing the chances of big debt crises happening and helping them be better managed in the future.
The template comes in three parts provided in three books: 1) The Archetypal Big Debt Cycle (which explains the template), 2) 3 Detailed Cases (which examines in depth the 2008 financial crisis, the 1930's Great Depression, and the 1920's inflationary depression of Germany's Weimar Republic), and 3) Compendium of 48 Cases (which is a compendium of charts and brief descriptions of the worst debt crises of the last 100 years). Whether you're an investor, a policy maker, or are simply interested, the unconventional perspective of one of the few people who navigated the crises successfully, A Template for Understanding Big Debt Crises will help you understand the economy and markets in revealing new ways.
##一本三册。看完了第一册 讲的债务危机的基本类型和原理 能把复杂的事情讲的如此简单 绝对是功力体现 Ray Dalio的新书最近也很火 其实个人感觉不过是这本书的延续 他一直致力于找出现象后面的规律 而经济现象后面的规律本质其实是人性。只要人类这种动物的特性不变这些现象应该会以不同的面貌持续出现下去 延绵不绝。每个普通人其实都应该看看本书 能掌握一点对宏观基本的分析原理。后面两册是具体的各个国家债务危机的case study 明天继续啃
评分##神作。洞见。
评分##历经两年多终于读完,是一本crisis的辞典,工具书。1)危机并不是由单一因素引发,而是有结构性的问题。所以“下一个危机不定是什么东西引发的”并不在理。及时诱因有一个,但是根本上还是结构性的。2)学习到了cycle的back-end logic,在介绍部分 3)管理者manage危机的好与坏很大程度决定危机的破坏性 4) 泡沫破裂往往始于rate raise 5)泡沫破裂不一定有准确原因,只要购买之力枯竭即会破裂 6) deleveraging初期容易低估downturn的持续性,造成小规模的rally 7)危机的政治后果可能比经济后果还大,大很多 8)depression里市场会时常随着政策动向而报复性反弹,因为大家会exaggerate相对较小的事情
评分 评分 评分##利益个人沾、风险大锅饭 2016年左右开始的防风险攻坚战和去杠杆运动,国家下发了多个政策文件,本质上就是防范“债务危机”。 第一个故事,政府 中央下决心治理急速膨胀的地方政府债务,省里高度重视,所以发了个各市州的负债率排行榜。某市政府的负债率比较低,排名榜首,财务...
评分 评分##在推荐这本书之前,我想告诉大家为什么每一个人都应该读一下达利欧的书。如果你不是一个金融从业人员,或者对投资并不感兴趣,那么我建议你还是去看一下达利欧的《原则》。这本书最可贵的一点是,提供了一个系统性的思维方式。无论是人生还是投资,我们都必须用“系统”去看待...
评分##Simply the best hypothesis, and proven.
Big Debt Crises pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载