Crashed

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Adam Tooze
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Allen Lane 2018-8-7 Hardcover 9780670024933

具體描述

Adam Tooze is the author of Wages of Destruction, winner of the Wolfson and Longman History Today Prize. He is the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Professor of History at Columbia University. He formerly taught at Yale University, where he was Director of International Security Studies, and at the University of Cambridge. He has worked in executive development with several major corporations and contributed to the National Intelligence Council. He has written and reviewed for Foreign Affairs, the Financial Times, The Guardian, the Sunday Telegraph, The Wall Street Journal, Die Zeit, Sueddeutsche Zeitung, Tageszeitung and Spiegel Magazine, New Left Review, and the London Review of Books.

From a prizewinning economic historian, an eye-opening reinterpretation of the 2008 economic crisis (and its ten-year aftermath) as a global event that directly led to the shockwaves being felt around the world today.

In September 2008 President George Bush could still describe the financial crisis as an incident local to Wall Street. In fact it was a dramatic caesura of global significance that spiraled around the world, from the financial markets of the UK and Europe to the factories and dockyards of Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America, forcing a rearrangement of global governance. In the United States and Europe, it caused a fundamental reconsideration of capitalist democracy, eventually leading to the war in the Ukraine, the chaos of Greece, Brexit, and Trump.

It was the greatest crisis to have struck Western societies since the end of the Cold War, but was it inevitable? And is it over? Crashed is a dramatic new narrative resting on original themes: the haphazard nature of economic development and the erratic path of debt around the world; the unseen way individual countries and regions are linked together in deeply unequal relationships through financial interdependence, investment, politics, and force; the ways the financial crisis interacted with the spectacular rise of social media, the crisis of middle-class America, the rise of China, and global struggles over fossil fuels.

Finally, Tooze asks, given this history, what now are the prospects for a liberal, stable, and coherent world order?

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##翻譯硬傷。 35,為瞭抵禦風險,北京在選擇掛鈎美元時,匯率沒有定得過高,反而很低。……這種選擇有利於齣口導嚮型增長,但是也有自身的問題。對人民幣估值過低,將使進口價格過高,降低中國人的生活水平。……不僅如此,要維持人為製定的低匯率,這本身就是一場戰爭,從2000年...  

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##當代史詩 摘要:2008年金融危機席捲全球,此後10年對世界産生深刻影響。金融史學傢亞當·圖茲推齣《崩潰:十年金融危機如何改變世界》一書,這是第一部關於這場危機的曆史敘事著作。全書按時間順序劃分為4個部分,重點關注宏觀層麵的架構、過程和決策,至於微觀層麵以及深受危機之苦的普羅大...  

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##看起來有點吃力,細節有點多。全麵迴顧2008年到18年十年的經濟政治變局。美國受次級債的影響,第一波全球危機,美聯儲及財政部聯手提供流動性,暫時穩定經濟。在此階段危機中華爾街,美國金融機構受創嚴重,但歐洲金融金融機構受創也很嚴重,主要是大規模藉美元貸美元,承受比美國金融機構更大的壓力。隨著美國經濟的萎縮,帶來歐洲各國經濟的萎縮,特彆是東歐各國,歐洲銀行深度介入東歐各國,經濟的崩潰,帶來歐洲金融機構的二次大危機。快十年的財政收縮及經濟低迷帶來瞭保護主義,經濟危機後十年美國更不均衡的財富分配,受損的白人藍領推選瞭特朗普,世界進入一個大變局時代,柏林牆後將近二三十年的和平與全球化紅利將可能消失。

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##講中國那一章,因為我自己這大半年來開始接觸債券一級市場的緣故,聽得毛骨悚然又醍醐灌頂。現在是沒賺到錢,倘若以後賺到瞭錢,也高興不起來。中國的錢花在十八綫縣城的雙嚮八車道大馬路上,實體經濟卻一點點在凋敝。時間進入到三月末,全球大放水,3年後A股爆雷潮預定

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