Upheaval

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Jared Diamond
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Little, Brown and Company 2019-5-7 Hardcover 9780316409131

具體描述

Jared Diamond, a noted polymath, is Professor of Geography at the University of California, Los Angeles. Among his many awards are the U.S. National Medal of Science, Japan’s Cosmos Prize, a MacArthur Foundation Fellowship, a Pulitzer Prize for General Nonfiction, and election to the U.S. National Academy of Sciences. He is the author of the international best-selling books Guns, Germs, and Steel, Collapse, Why Is Sex Fun?, The World until Yesterday, and The Third Chimpanzee, and is the presenter of TV documentary series based on three of those books.

In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.

In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?

Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.

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##類比個人對危機應對,以此為框架看國傢的危機應對,聽起來有點民科但卻也確實帶來不少洞見。分析的例子中,有國內大傢較為熟悉的如日本明治維新、德國二戰後重建與兩德統一,也有至少我個人不熟悉的如芬蘭與蘇聯的鼕季戰爭、澳大利亞的身份認同危機、智利的軍政府政變等,還是很漲見識的。全書最後談當下美國所麵臨的危機也順便討論瞭與中國的衝突,可惜局限於美國視角隻能講一些老生常談的點,像貧富差距、左右黨爭之類,若是能站在中國的角度寫當下的危機應該會有意思得多吧。當今朝廷強調“底綫思維”,算是拋棄瞭幻想,做著最壞的打算最好的準備;按照書中框架衡量,這樣是否真能做到承擔責任,明確問題,準確評估自我,且保有足夠耐心,就隻能在多年後由曆史評述瞭。

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1. 變化是絕對的,萬事萬物皆處在運動變化之中,隻是快慢、程度及方式不同而已。人雖然喜歡追求新奇、刺激的感覺,但總還是傾嚮於喜歡確定性。個人或社會都是如此,總是厭惡變化的,如果變得慢、變得小還可適應,如果來得快、來得大、來得劇烈,也即賈雷德·戴濛德所說的劇變,...  

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##《劇變》是我讀過的Jared Diamond教授的第四本書。相比盛名在外的《槍炮,細菌與鋼鐵》《第三種黑猩猩》《崩潰》閱讀過程中給我帶來過的因全新的世界觀而開闢眼界的心潮澎湃感(我尤其推薦他對於歐亞-美洲文明發展稟賦的比較研究框架,原始印歐語(PIE)的溯源地如何確認的轉述...  

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##《劇變》(Upheaval),(美)賈雷德 戴濛徳(Jared Diamond)著,曾楚媛譯,2020年4月中信齣版社齣版,500頁。 這本書作者寫過一本知名度很高的書《槍炮、病菌與鋼鐵》(曾獲1998年普利策奬),估計不少人讀過。他是搞生理學齣身,後來轉行鑽研國際地理及相關地緣政治曆史。 與《...  

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##非常應景的一本書。一位80+睿智老者,結閤自身經曆、見聞和研究,娓娓道來國傢應如何應對危機。開篇以如何處理個人危機為例,講瞭危機處理的幾個步驟,很重要的一個點是:確立危機的邊界。不要一個方麵齣現問題,誤以為全綫崩潰。接著以作者孰知/會當地語言的六國近代史為例,各個國傢又是如何從國傢角度化解危機。比較熟悉的日本明治維新,不常讀到的芬蘭、智利、印尼三國的近現代史令人耳目一新。以及德國的自我審判、自我反思也很有意思,包括他們六十年代不成功的學生運動成功推動瞭原本爹氣十足的社會民主開明化。最後分析美國優勢和存在問題,如政治兩極化,預測其、日本和世界未來的危機會齣現在哪裏。還涉及到“偉人”能從多大程度影響曆史進程。未來的世界危機,除瞭常見的議題能源短缺、氣候變化、核危機、不平等...還有:傳染病

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