具体描述
Ray Dalio is the founder and cochairman of Bridgewater Associates, which, over the last forty years, has become the largest and best performing hedge fund in the world. Dalio has appeared on the Time 100 list of the most influential people in the world as well as the Bloomberg Markets list of the 50 most influential people. He is the author of Principles, Big Debt Crisis, and Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. He lives with his family in Connecticut.
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
用户评价
##大历史角度写的国家和市场变迁，印象最深的有两条：如果20世纪初投资美英中法俄日荷意法奥10个国家的股债现金大类资产，其中7个国家的投资会清零（有些还不止一次）；作者篇尾预测中美未来十年军事冲突的可能是35%。。。
评分 评分##不知是有意还是无意，本书的封面已经在事实上透露了本书所讨论的内核，即周期。经济周期理论长期来看一直处于一个微妙的位置。回望传统的经济周期理论，无论凯恩斯、希克斯、熊彼特亦或康德拉季耶夫，每一个人都可谓一方巨擘。但是反过来在经济实践中，似乎又很少用到经济周期...
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