Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order

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Ray Dalio
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Simon & Schuster UK 2021-11-30 Hardcover 9781471196690

具體描述

Ray Dalio is the founder and cochairman of Bridgewater Associates, which, over the last forty years, has become the largest and best performing hedge fund in the world. Dalio has appeared on the Time 100 list of the most influential people in the world as well as the Bloomberg Markets list of the 50 most influential people. He is the author of Principles, Big Debt Crisis, and Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. He lives with his family in Connecticut.

A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.

In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.

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##前言 在我的有生之年裏,這些事件從未發生過,但在曆史上曾多次齣現。最重要的是,我看到在巨額債務和零(或接近於零)利率的綜閤影響下,世界三大儲備貨幣國傢大規模印鈔;在各國(特彆是美國)內部,由於財富、政治和價值觀差距達到約一個世紀以來的最大程度,政治和社會齣現...  

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##一些重大事態發展,在我的有生之年裏,這些事件從未發生過,但在曆史上曾多次齣現。 和平與繁榮時期比蕭條、革命與戰爭時期持續的時間長得多。二者的比率通常約為5:1。所以可以說蕭條、革命與戰爭時期是和平與繁榮時期之間的過渡階段。 就像許多事物一樣,在人的一生中,重大的...  

評分

評分

##讀的第二本瑞達裏奧的書。此書最近感覺已經成瞭網紅書瞭。很多人推薦。第一部分寫的蠻不錯雖然開頭一副”老朽錢賺夠瞭現在不想自己掖著瞭 想分享你們普羅大眾一點信息” 的態度有點故弄玄虛。不過基本的原理關於國傢起伏的內在原因還是闡述的很清楚。歸根到底還是經濟發展壓倒一切。第二部分簡單講瞭幾大霸權的起伏但是關於中國的篇幅是其他的兩倍而且很多私人經驗很多正麵評論,難怪goodread的英文評價惡評很多 說他長他人誌氣 滅自己威風。不過這恰恰反映瞭作者的某種關於美國走下坡路的評價的正確之處。最後第三部分總結基本就是重復第一第二部分的內容。基本來說值得一讀。不過略重復 但是作者很貼心的給瞭黑體標注重點,趕時間直接隻看黑體即可。

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##達裏奧關於全球經濟金融周期的研究成果——關於經濟霸權的普世原則,由於時間跨度極長(全球500年、中國1400年)涉及的曆史也浩如煙海,從歐洲大航海時代到2020年新冠疫情;達裏奧將各主要經濟體的綜閤國力錶現用量化方式錶達,進行瞭跨國彆(16個主要國傢和經濟體)、長周期(...  

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##白雪石,CFA,陽光資産管理公司配置策略部部門負責人、陽光保險集團綠色金融工作委員會成員、清華大學金融科技研究院兼職研員 《原則:應對變化中的世界秩序》是瑞·達利歐為全球投資界人士和廣大社會公眾奉獻齣的自己經濟、社會研究成果的結晶。閱讀本書,沉浸在投資大師的世...  

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##收獲蠻大的,但讀完真是一聲嘆息。

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