編輯推薦
• Written with the minimum of jargon and with the assumption of little prior knowledge
• Written in modular style: chapters act as stand-alone introductions to different areas in the history of ideas and economic methodology
• Provides guidance for how new, more Romantic, assumptions and models can be integrated into research practice, as well as examples from practising economists and political scientists of how this can work
內容簡介
Since economies are dynamic processes driven by creativity, social norms, and emotions as well as rational calculation, why do economists largely study them using static equilibrium models and narrow rationalistic assumptions? Economic activity is as much a function of imagination and social sentiments as of the rational optimisation of given preferences and goods. Richard Bronk argues that economists can best model and explain these creative and social aspects of markets by using new structuring assumptions and metaphors derived from the poetry and philosophy of the Romantics. By bridging the divide between literature and science, and between Romanticism and narrow forms of Rationalism, economists can access grounding assumptions, models, and research methods suitable for comprehending the creativity and social dimensions of economic activity. This is a guide to how economists and other social scientists can broaden their analytical repertoire to encompass the vital role of sentiments, language, and imagination.
作者簡介
Richard Bronk spent the first seventeen years of his career working in the City of London, where he gained a wide expertise in international economics, business, and politics. He is now a writer and part-time academic, and a Visiting Fellow in the European Institute at the London School of Economics and Political Science.
精彩書評
"The Romantic Economist is a miracle, combining sophisticated economics with, of all things, sophisticated literary criticism-in aid of the economics. An economics that recognized our Wordsworthian selves, Richard Bronk argues in a lucid and learned style, would do much better at the analysis of getting and spending. The world is too much with us if we do not have a humanistic science of economics. Bronk is among the handful of modern students of the economy who sees this clear. Literary folk can learn from Bronk about the dismal science. But it is the tribe of the Econ who need him most. Fortunately they will find the needful assignment here a delight."
-- Deirdre McCloskey, author of The Bourgeois Virtues: Ethics for an Age of Commerce (2006)
"Bronk's The Romantic Economist is a highly original exploration of the ways in which an understanding of the Romantic tradition can help enrich and improve our economic thinking. With a rare command of orthodox economics, philosophy and literature, Bronk shows how our view of economic life is shaped by metaphors that limit our vision. Arguing that absorbing some of the insights into human action of Romantic writers enables us to correct these distortions, Bronk liberates economics from the stultifying effects of an over-mechanical view of human action. His book will be read with profit by political theorists, historians of ideas and - not least - practising economists."
-- John Gray, Emeritus Professor of European Thought, London School of Economics.
"This is a truly riveting book which carries one, with wit, analytical sharpness and an unusual clarity of style, through two centuries of Anglo-Saxon debate between political philosophers, political economists, poets and public intellectuals over the nature of economics. It establishes Richard Bronk as a substantial intellectual in the cultural history of economic thought."
-- David Soskice, Research Professor of Comparative Political Economy, Oxford University and Research Professor of Political Science, Duke University.
"... fascinating new book"
-- Larry Elliott, Economics Editor, The Guardian
"... a fascinating blast against simplistic maths-based thinking, in favour of what he calls the Romantic Economist.... a very radical book.... very persuasive."
-- Andrew Marr, BBC Radio 4
目錄
Preface
Acknowledgements
1. Preface to The Romantic Economist
Part I. The Prelude: The Romantic Economist and the History of Ideas:
2. The great divide
3. Debates within political economy
4. Lessons from Romanticism
Part II. Fragments of Unity: Romantic Economics in Practice:
5. Using organic metaphors in economics
6. Economics and the nation state
7. Incommensurable values
8. Imagination and creativity in markets
9. Homo romanticus and other homines
10. Imagination and perspective in economics
11. The Romantic economist: conclusion.
《數字之舞:數據驅動時代的商業洞察與決策藝術》 作者: [此處可虛構一位知名數據科學傢或商業分析師的名字,例如:艾略特·裏德 (Elliot Reid)] 齣版社: [此處可虛構一傢專業商業齣版社,例如:普羅米修斯商業齣版社 (Prometheus Business Press)] ISBN: [虛構的ISBN號,例如:978-1-56789-012-3] --- 內容簡介: 在這個由海量數據洪流驅動的時代,商業的疆域正以前所未有的速度重塑。企業不再僅僅依賴直覺或曆史經驗進行決策,而是需要一套精密的工具和深刻的洞察力,將原始的比特和字節轉化為可執行的戰略優勢。《數字之舞:數據驅動時代的商業洞察與決策藝術》正是為應對這一挑戰而誕生的裏程碑式著作。本書超越瞭膚淺的技術指南,深入探討瞭如何將復雜的數據分析轉化為清晰、可衡量的商業價值,揭示瞭數據科學如何從後颱支持角色,躍升為驅動現代企業創新的核心引擎。 本書的核心在於構建一個完整的“數據決策閉環”——從數據的采集、清洗、建模,到洞察的提煉,最終落實為影響市場、優化運營、乃至重塑商業模式的行動。作者艾略特·裏德以其多年在全球頂尖科技公司和金融機構的實戰經驗為基礎,構建瞭一套既具理論深度又極富操作性的分析框架。 第一部分:範式轉移——理解數據的本質與商業語境 在開篇章節,本書首先剖析瞭當前商業環境的“數據化”進程,強調瞭傳統商業思維與數據驅動思維之間的根本區彆。裏德指齣,數據不再是報告的附屬品,而是戰略資産本身。他詳細闡述瞭大數據(Volume, Velocity, Variety, Veracity)的四大挑戰,並提齣瞭“情境化分析”的概念——即任何數據點隻有置於正確的商業背景之下,纔能顯現其真實價值。 書中深入探討瞭“相關性與因果性”的永恒難題。在機器學習模型日益強大的今天,區分“預測的準確性”與“決策的有效性”至關重要。作者通過一係列引人入勝的案例,闡釋瞭如何設計實驗(如A/B測試的進階應用),以更嚴謹地驗證商業假設,避免因過度依賴相關性分析而導緻的資源錯配。 第二部分:構建洞察的引擎——從數據到行動的橋梁 本書的中間部分是全書的技術與方法論核心。它並沒有沉溺於復雜的數學公式,而是聚焦於“如何選擇正確的工具來解決特定的商業問題”。裏德將數據分析工具劃分為三大類:描述性分析(發生瞭什麼)、診斷性分析(為什麼發生)、預測性分析(將要發生什麼),以及規定性分析(我們應該做什麼)。 描述與診斷: 作者詳細講解瞭關鍵績效指標(KPIs)的設計與陷阱。他強調,好的KPI必須是可行動的,並介紹瞭“儀錶盤設計藝術”,確保管理層能夠一眼洞察運營的健康狀況,並能快速追溯異常的根源。 預測建模的商業落地: 針對預測分析,本書著重介紹瞭時間序列分析在需求預測、庫存管理中的應用,以及分類模型在客戶流失預警、欺詐檢測中的實際部署流程。更重要的是,作者提供瞭如何嚮非技術高管解釋模型不確定性和置信區間的方法,確保技術輸齣能被決策層有效采納。 優化與推薦係統: 在規定性分析層麵,本書引入瞭運籌學和強化學習的入門概念,用淺顯的語言解釋瞭它們如何用於優化物流路綫、動態定價策略和個性化推薦引擎,從而直接提升企業的營收效率。 第三部分:數據治理與倫理的基石 數據驅動的強大力量也帶來瞭前所未有的責任。本書的後半部分專門探討瞭數據治理、隱私保護和算法公平性這一至關重要的領域。裏德認為,缺乏信任的數據基礎設施,最終將導緻決策的失效。 書中詳述瞭構建健壯的數據治理框架的必要步驟,包括數據血緣追蹤(Data Lineage)、元數據管理(Metadata Management)以及數據質量的持續監控。在數據隱私法規日益收緊的背景下,作者提供瞭關於“隱私增強技術”(PETs)的實用概述,指導企業如何在利用數據的同時,確保對客戶的尊重和閤規性。 此外,關於“算法偏見”的討論尤為深刻。作者通過多個行業(如信貸審批、招聘篩選)的案例,揭示瞭訓練數據中固有的偏見如何被放大並固化在自動化決策係統中。本書提供瞭一套係統的“偏見審計流程”,幫助組織識彆、量化並減輕算法決策中的不公平性,從而構建一個既高效又符閤社會責任的智能係統。 第四部分:組織文化的重塑——培養數據素養 最終,技術和模型隻是工具,真正的變革發生在人與流程中。《數字之舞》的收尾聚焦於組織層麵的變革管理。數據驅動型企業需要的不是更多的分析師,而是擁有“數據素養”的每一位員工。 本書提齣瞭“從報告驅動到提問驅動”的文化轉型策略。它指導領導者如何建立跨職能的數據團隊(Data Translator角色),如何激勵業務部門主動挑戰現狀、利用數據進行探索性分析,以及如何將數據洞察無縫嵌入到日常的工作流程中,實現真正的“數據民主化”。 讀者對象: 本書是為尋求在復雜市場中獲得競爭優勢的: 企業高管(CEO, COO, CFO)和部門負責人。 商業分析師、數據科學傢和數據工程師團隊領導。 MBA學生及對商業智能和決策科學感興趣的專業人士。 《數字之舞》不僅僅是一本關於技術如何運行的書,它更是一本關於領導力、戰略思維和未來商業遠見的指南。它將引導讀者掌握數據這門“新語言”,從而在下一次商業浪潮中翩翩起舞,而不是被淹沒。