The Fifth Risk

The Fifth Risk pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2026

Michael Lewis
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具體描述

What are the consequences if the people given control over our government have no idea how it works?

"The election happened," remembers Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall, then deputy secretary of the Department of Energy. "And then there was radio silence." Across all departments, similar stories were playing out: Trump appointees were few and far between; those that did show up were shockingly uninformed about the functions of their new workplace. Some even threw away the briefing books that had been prepared for them.

Michael Lewis’s brilliant narrative takes us into the engine rooms of a government under attack by its own leaders. In Agriculture the funding of vital programs like food stamps and school lunches is being slashed. The Commerce Department may not have enough staff to conduct the 2020 Census properly. Over at Energy, where international nuclear risk is managed, it’s not clear there will be enough inspectors to track and locate black market uranium before terrorists do.

Willful ignorance plays a role in these looming disasters. If your ambition is to maximize short-term gains without regard to the long-term cost, you are better off not knowing those costs. If you want to preserve your personal immunity to the hard problems, it’s better never to really understand those problems. There is upside to ignorance, and downside to knowledge. Knowledge makes life messier. It makes it a bit more difficult for a person who wishes to shrink the world to a worldview.

If there are dangerous fools in this book, there are also heroes, unsung, of course. They are the linchpins of the system―those public servants whose knowledge, dedication, and proactivity keep the machinery running. Michael Lewis finds them, and he asks them what keeps them up at night.

用戶評價

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##Program management.

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##美國政治角力的本質,往往不是驢象之爭,而是逐利和逐夢者之爭。作者寫到農業部的時候開始陷入瞭一種固定範式:高效部門被架空、優秀團隊被罷黜、有益項目被取締,Trump與Obama和Bush政權相比有諸多不妥。但是循規蹈矩其實未必穩妥,異於前任未必倒退,我反而覺得Trump團隊最大的過錯在於錶象溝通時的傲慢和冷漠。一切問題都會透過溝通暴露,溝通不當,一切便都是問題。讀完全書,最精華的論點在DOE一章最後,守序的邪惡與無知是第五類風險的本源,要比大眾視野下的混亂善意可怕的多:犧牲長期利益,而試圖通過program management填補短期的漏洞,這纔是一個政治體製倒退的深層原因。

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##打書釘,又一斷斷續續三四個月的長徵 Write the impact of Trump's on the U.S. government. At first glance it seems that nothing wrong.Each of his policies has far-reaching effects & at the same time weakens of the USA.The author's so-called the fifth risk refers to the mismanagement of government programs.Take the entire USA into very dangerous & uncharted territory

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##簡明扼要的從democratic establishment的角度闡述瞭三個問題:管核武器靠科學,美國農村要遭殃因為淳樸的USDA都不喜歡Trump people,颶風路綫很隨機預測天氣還得靠衛星但是大數據還是nb

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##結構比較鬆散 花樣黑Trump 故事本身還都是頗值得一讀的

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有點敷衍。去年Michael Lewis在名利場上寫過兩篇文章Why the Scariest Nuclear Threat May Be Coming from Inside the White House & Inside Trump's Cruel Campaign Against the U.S.D.A.'s Scientists,這兩篇關於能源部和農業部的文章覆蓋瞭本書2/3的內容。

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##Program management.

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##US government is a giant organization that is misunderstood by most of Americans.

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##有點散的流水賬,中心思想不過是it's the risks that we fail to imagine that get us killed,扯上特朗普豈不是格局小瞭?

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